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An Agent-Based Model of Conflict in East Africa and the Effect of Watering Holes

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dc.contributor.author Kennedy, W.G.
dc.contributor.author Hailegiorgis, A.B.
dc.contributor.author Rouleau, M.
dc.contributor.author Bassett, J.K.
dc.contributor.author Coletti, M.
dc.contributor.author Balan, G.C.
dc.contributor.author Gulden, T.
dc.date.accessioned 2014-08-20T14:39:59Z
dc.date.available 2014-08-20T14:39:59Z
dc.date.issued 2010-03
dc.identifier.citation Kennedy, W.G., Hailegiorgis, A.B., Rouleau, M., Bassett, J.K., Coletti, M., Balan, G.C., and Gulden, T. (2010) An Agent-Based Model of Conflict in East Africa and the Effect of Watering Holes, Proceedings of the 19th Conference on Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, Charleston, SC. 21 - 24 March 2010, pp 274-281. en_US
dc.identifier.uri https://hdl.handle.net/1920/8743
dc.description.abstract An agent-based model conflict between herdsmen in east Africa using the MASON agent-based simulation environment is presented. Herders struggle to keep their herds fed and watered in a GIS-based, spatially diverse environment with data-driven seasonal cycles. The model produces realistic carrying capacity dynamics and basically plausible conflict dynamics. With the rather basic set of behaviors, herders come into conflict over limited resources and one clan is eventually eliminated. We find that greater environmental scarcity leads to faster domination by a single group. At the same time, we note that there is tremendous variability from run to run in the rate and timing of the transition from a conflict-prone, multi-clan environment to hegemony of a single group.
dc.description.sponsorship Center for Social Complexity at George Mason University and by the Office of Naval Research (ONR) under a Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (MURI) grant no. N00014-08-1-0921. en_US
dc.language.iso en_US en_US
dc.publisher Conference on Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation en_US
dc.subject Agent-based model en_US
dc.subject Conflict modeling en_US
dc.subject Computer simulation en_US
dc.title An Agent-Based Model of Conflict in East Africa and the Effect of Watering Holes en_US
dc.type Presentation en_US


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